APPENDIX D: SOCIOECONOMICS

D.1 Introduction

This appendix includes the methodologies, models, assumptions, and supporting data used to assess potential impacts in the socioeconomics sections of this programmatic environmental impact statement. Section D.2 presents the methods and assumptions used to evaluate the potential socioeconomic effects of the proposed alternatives of the Stockpile Stewardship and Management Program. The socioeconomic analysis involved two major steps: (1) characterizing and projecting existing social, economic, and infrastructure conditions surrounding each of the candidate sites (i.e., the affected environment); and (2) evaluating potential changes in socioeconomic conditions that could result from operating the proposed alternatives in the regions addressed (i.e., the environmental consequences).

For each site, socioeconomic impacts were estimated using two geographic areas. First, a region of influence (ROI) was identified based on the distribution of residences for current Department of Energy (DOE) and contractor employees. The ROI is defined as those counties where approximately 90 percent of the workforce lives. This residential distribution reflects existing commuting patterns and attractiveness of area communities for people employed at each site, and was used to estimate the future distribution of direct workers associated with the proposed alternatives.

As an example, table D.1-1 displays the residential distribution by city and county for approximately 90 percent of all personnel employed at Oak Ridge Reservation (ORR). Data on residential locations of a large portion of facility employees were obtained from ORR personnel offices. Similar data were provided by the other locations and are given in tables D.1-2 through D.1-8.

Table D.1-1.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Oak Ridge Reservation
Region of Influence, 1991

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Anderson County

    5,053

    33.1

Clinton

    1,035

    6.8

Oak Ridge

    3,292

    21.6

Knox County

    5,490

    36.0

Knoxville

    4,835

    31.7

Loudon County

    848

    5.6

Lenoir City

    638

    4.2

Roane County

    2,537

    16.6

Harriman

    802

    5.3

Kingston

    1,033

    6.8

Total ROI

    13,928

    91.3

City values are included within county totals.

ORR 1991a:4.

Table D.1-2.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Savannah River Site
Region of Influence, 1991

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Aiken County

    9,978

    51.9

Aiken

    4,928

    25.7

North Augusta

    2,666

    13.9

Barnwell County

    1,401

    7.3

Columbia County

    2,036

    10.6

Richmond County

    3,358

    17.5

Augusta

    2,780

    14.5

Total ROI

    16,773

    87.3

City values are included within county totals.

SRS 1991a:3.

Table D.1-3.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Kansas City Plant
Region of Influence, 1991

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Cass County

    761

    14.0

Belton

    237

    4.4

Harrisonville

    150

    2.8

Jackson County

    3,246

    59.8

Kansas City

    1,499

    27.6

Lee's Summit

    609

    11.2

Johnson County

    915

    16.9

Overland Park

    376

    6.9

Wyandotte County

    135

    2.3

Total ROI

    5,057

    93.2

City values are included within county totals.

KCP 1993a:1.

Table D.1-4.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Pantex Plant
Region of Influence, 1994

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Armstrong County

    46

    1.3

Carson County

    380

    10.7

Potter County

    1,217

    34.2

Amarillo

    196

    5.5

Randall County

    1,783

    50.2

Total ROI

    3,426

    96.4

City values are included within county totals.

PX 1994a:2.

Table D.1-5.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Los Alamos National Laboratory Region of Influence, 1991

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Los Alamos County

    4,697

    48.3

Rio Arriba County

    2,027

    20.8

Espanőla

    944

    9.7

Santa Fe County

    1,851

    19.0

Santa Fe

    1,548

    15.9

Total ROI

    8,575

    88.1

City values are included within county totals.

LANL 1991b:6.

Table D.1-6.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Lawrence Livermore
National Laboratory Region of Influence, 1995

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Alameda County

    4,746

    57.1

Livermore

    3,215

    38.7

Pleasanton

    642

    7.7

Contra Costa County

    1,098

    13.2

San Joaquin County

    1,327

    16.0

Manteca

    372

    4.5

Tracy

    656

    7.9

Total ROI

    7,171

    86.3

City values are included within county totals.

LLNL 1995i:1.

Table D.1-7.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Sandia National Laboratories Region of Influence, 1994

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Bernalillo County

    6,463

    88.0

Albuquerque

    6,030

    82.1

Sandoval County

    333

    4.5

Valencia County

    334

    4.5

Total ROI

    7,130

    97.0

City values are included within county totals.

SNL 1995b:1.

Table D.1-8.-- Distribution of Employees by Place of Residence in the Nevada Test Site
Region of Influence, 1991

County/City

Number of Employees

 

Total Site Employment (percent)

Clark County

    6,270

    81.7

Henderson

    357

    4.7

Las Vegas

    5,352

    69.7

North Las Vegas

    505

    6.6

Nye County

    1,173

    15.3

Total ROI

    7,443

    97.0

City values are included within county totals.

NTS 1991a:1.

A second geographical area, referred to as a regional economic area, was also identified for estimating socioeconomic impacts. The regional economic area encompasses a broad market that involves trade among regional industrial and service sectors and is characterized by strong economic links between the communities located in the region. These links determine the nature and magnitude of multiplier effects of economic activity at each candidate site. Regional economic areas, as defined by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, consist of an economic node that serves as the center of economic activity, and surrounding counties that are economically related and include the places of work and residence of its labor force. The regional economic area is used to analyze the primary economic impacts on employment, spending, earnings, and personal income. Table D.1-9 displays the counties found in each site's regional economic area.

Data for the year 1992 or later were obtained from sources such as the U.S. Bureau of Census, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA), state and local government publications, and telephone interviews with state and local government officials and planners.

Table D.1-9.-- Candidate Sites' Regional Economic Areas

ORR

 

SRS

 

KCP

 

Pantex

 

LANL

 

LLNL

 

SNL

 

NTS

Tennessee

Georgia

Kansas

Missouri (Con't)

Missouri (Con't)

New Mexico

Texas (Con't)

New Mexico

California

California (Con't)

Arizona

Arizona

Anderson

Burke

Anderson

Caldwell

Livingston

Curry

Gray

Guadalupe

Alameda

Stanislaus

Apache

Mohave

Blount

Columbia

Atchison

Carroll

Macon

Debaca

Hall

Los Alamos

Calaveras

Trinity

Campbell

Glascock

Bourbon

Cass

Mercer

Harding

Hansford

Mora

Contra Costa

Tuolumne

Cocke

Jefferson

Doniphan

Cedar

Nodaway

Quay

Hartley

Rio Arriba

Humboldt

New Mexico

Nevada

Grainger

Jenkins

Douglas

Chariton

Pettis

Roosevelt

Hemphill

San Miguel

Lake

Bernalillo

Clark

Hamblen

Lincoln

Franklin

Clay

Platte

Union

Hutchinson

Santa Fe

Marin

Catron

Esmeralda

Hancock

McDuffie

Johnson

Clinton

Putnam

Lipscomb

Taos

Mariposa

Cibola

Lincoln

Jefferson

Richmond

Leavenworth

Davies

Ray

Moore

Mendocino

McKinley

Mineral

Knox

Warren

Linn

De Kalb

Saline

Texas

Ochiltree

Merced

Sandoval

Nye

Loudon

Wilkes

Miami

Gentry

Schuyler

Armstrong

Oldham

Monterey

Socorro

Morgan

Wyandotte

Grundy

St. Clair

Bailey

Parmer

Napa

Torrance

Roane

Harrison

Sullivan

Carson

Potter

San Benito

Valencia

Utah

Scott

South Carolina

Henry

Vernon

Castro

Randall

San Francisco

Beaver

Sevier

Aiken

Missouri

Holt

Worth

Childress

Roberts

San Joaquin

Garfield

Union

Allendale

Adair

Jackson

Collingsworth

Sherman

San Mateo

Iron

Bamberg

Andrew

Johnson

Cottle

Wheeler

Santa Clara

Piute

Barnwell

Bates

Knox

Dallam

Santa Cruz

Washington

Edgefield

Benton

Lafayette

Deaf Smith

Solano

 

Buchanan

Linn

Donley

Sonoma

DOC 1995a.